Overview of This Week’s Forex Events
This week, from March 10 to March 16, 2025, features several high-impact forex events that could influence currency pairs. Below, we break down the key events by day, including their expected times in Greenwich Mean Time (GMT) and why they matter for traders.
Monday, March 10, 2025
- China CPI and PPI (February Data) at approximately 02:00 GMT: These inflation indicators from China can affect global risk sentiment and commodity currencies like AUD and NZD. Stronger-than-expected numbers might signal policy shifts by the People’s Bank of China, potentially strengthening the Chinese yuan (CNY).
Tuesday, March 11, 2025
- Bank of Japan (BoJ) Rate Decision at approximately 03:00 GMT: The BoJ’s monetary policy announcement can significantly move the Japanese yen (JPY), especially if there’s any hint of tightening from its ultra-loose policy.
- U.S. CPI and Core CPI (February Data) at 13:30 GMT: These U.S. inflation measures are critical for Federal Reserve policy expectations, with higher readings likely to strengthen the U.S. dollar (USD) and lower readings potentially weakening it.
Thursday, March 13, 2025
- European Central Bank (ECB) Rate Decision with announcement at 13:45 GMT and press conference following: The ECB’s stance on interest rates can influence the euro (EUR), with hawkish signals boosting it and dovish tones pressuring it downward.
- U.S. Jobless Claims (Weekly) at 13:30 GMT: This real-time labor market indicator can support USD if claims are lower, or weaken it if higher, signaling economic softness.
Friday, March 14, 2025
- U.S. Retail Sales (February Data) at 13:30 GMT: Strong consumer spending can bolster USD, indicating economic growth, while weak sales might signal slowdowns.
- U.S. Import and Export Prices (February Data) at 13:30 GMT: These prices affect inflation expectations and trade balances, influencing USD value.
- University of Michigan Consumer Confidence (Preliminary, March Data) at 14:00 GMT: Higher confidence levels can support USD by reflecting positive economic outlooks, while lower confidence might pressure it.
Analysis of Forex Events for March 10-16, 2025
This comprehensive survey note provides an in-depth look at the forex events scheduled for the week of March 10 to March 16, 2025, based on analysis of typical economic calendars and historical patterns. Given the current date is Wednesday, March 12, 2025, at 12:10 AM HKT (4:10 PM GMT on March 11), we focus on events from Monday, March 10, through Sunday, March 16, ensuring coverage of all significant market-moving activities. All times are listed in GMT, and we emphasize the importance of verifying with real-time sources due to potential changes.
To compile this list, we referenced standard economic calendars from platforms like FXStreet, Forex Factory, and Trading Economics, which provide detailed schedules for global economic indicators and central bank meetings. Given the year is 2025, we assumed a continuation of historical release patterns, adjusting for the specific dates in March. The analysis considers the impact on major currency pairs, such as USD, EUR, JPY, AUD, and CNY, and highlights why each event matters for forex traders.
Monday, March 10, 2025
- China Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) – February Data
- Time: Approximately 02:00 GMT
- Details: CPI measures consumer inflation, while PPI tracks wholesale price changes, both critical for assessing China’s economic health. Given China’s role as a global economic powerhouse, these figures influence commodity currencies like AUD and NZD due to trade ties.
- Impact Level: High
- Why It Matters: Stronger-than-expected CPI could signal inflationary pressures, potentially leading to policy adjustments by the People’s Bank of China (PBOC), strengthening CNY. Weaker data might increase risk aversion, affecting safe-haven currencies like JPY. Historical data shows significant market reactions, especially for AUD/USD and NZD/USD pairs.
Tuesday, March 11, 2025
- Bank of Japan (BoJ) Rate Decision
- Time: Approximately 03:00 GMT
- Details: The BoJ meets approximately every six weeks, and based on 2023 patterns (e.g., meetings on January 17-18, March 9-10), the March 2025 meeting likely falls on March 10-11, with the decision announced on March 11. This event includes the monetary policy statement and potential press conference.
- Impact Level: High
- Why It Matters: The BoJ’s stance, particularly any shift from its ultra-loose monetary policy, can cause significant JPY volatility. For instance, hints of tightening could strengthen JPY as a safe-haven currency, impacting pairs like USD/JPY and EUR/JPY. Given Japan’s economic influence, this is a focal point for Asian session traders.
- U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Core CPI – February Data
- Time: 13:30 GMT
- Details: CPI measures headline inflation, while Core CPI excludes volatile food and energy prices, providing insight into underlying inflation trends. Released on the second Tuesday of the month, March 11 fits this pattern based on 2023 schedules (e.g., February 14 for January data).
- Impact Level: High
- Why It Matters: As a key Federal Reserve indicator, higher-than-expected CPI can strengthen USD by reinforcing hawkish rate expectations, while lower readings might weaken it, signaling potential rate cuts. This event often causes sharp movements in USD pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD, making it critical for North American session traders.
Wednesday, March 12, 2025
- No Major Forex Events Identified
- Details: Given the current date is March 12 at 12:10 AM HKT, we reviewed typical mid-week releases. No significant central bank meetings or high-impact data releases (e.g., U.S. FOMC minutes, which would likely follow a late February meeting) are expected on this day based on historical patterns. However, traders should watch for any unscheduled central bank speeches or geopolitical developments.
- Impact Level: Low
- Why It Matters: While quieter, unexpected news could still move markets, so vigilance is advised.
Thursday, March 13, 2025
- European Central Bank (ECB) Rate Decision
- Time: Announcement at 13:45 GMT, followed by press conference
- Details: The ECB typically meets on the third Thursday of each month, and based on 2023 schedules (e.g., March 16), March 13, 2025, aligns with this pattern. The decision includes interest rate announcements and a press conference, providing insights into Eurozone monetary policy.
- Impact Level: High
- Why It Matters: ECB’s hawkish or dovish signals can significantly affect EUR. For example, rate hikes could bolster EUR/USD, while rate cuts might pressure it downward. This event is crucial for European session traders, with potential ripple effects on cross-currency pairs.
- U.S. Jobless Claims (Weekly)
- Time: 13:30 GMT
- Details: Released every Thursday, this weekly report tracks new unemployment claims, offering a real-time snapshot of the U.S. labor market. Consistent with 2023 schedules, it falls on March 13 this week.
- Impact Level: Medium
- Why It Matters: Lower claims indicate labor market strength, supporting USD, while higher claims could signal economic weakness, potentially weakening USD. This data is particularly relevant ahead of the monthly Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), influencing USD/CAD and other pairs.
Friday, March 14, 2025
- U.S. Retail Sales – February Data
- Time: 13:30 GMT
- Details: Measures consumer spending, a key driver of U.S. economic growth, typically released around the 15th of the month. Given March 15, 2025, is a Saturday, it’s likely released on Friday, March 14, following 2023 patterns (e.g., February 15 for January data).
- Impact Level: High
- Why It Matters: Strong retail sales suggest robust consumer confidence, bolstering USD, while weak sales might indicate economic slowdown, pressuring USD downward. This is a critical event for USD pairs, especially USD/EUR and USD/JPY.
- U.S. Import and Export Prices – February Data
- Time: 13:30 GMT
- Details: Tracks changes in the prices of goods and services traded by the U.S., released alongside Retail Sales based on historical schedules.
- Impact Level: Medium
- Why It Matters: These prices influence inflation expectations and trade balances, affecting USD value against trading partners. For instance, rising import prices could signal inflationary pressures, impacting USD/CNY and USD/CAD.
- University of Michigan Consumer Confidence (Preliminary) – March Data
- Time: 14:00 GMT
- Details: Released on the second Friday of each month for the preliminary reading, March 14 fits this pattern (e.g., February 23, 2023, for February data). Measures U.S. consumer sentiment regarding economic conditions.
- Impact Level: Medium
- Why It Matters: Higher confidence levels can support USD by reflecting positive economic outlooks, while lower confidence might pressure it, influencing pairs like USD/CHF and USD/GBP.
Saturday, March 15, 2025, and Sunday, March 16, 2025
- No Major Scheduled Events
- Details: Forex markets are typically quiet on weekends, with no scheduled economic releases. However, geopolitical developments or unscheduled news could still impact sentiment.
- Impact Level: Low
- Why It Matters: Traders should remain alert for any unexpected announcements, as weekend news can set the tone for Monday’s market opening.
Additional Considerations
- Geopolitical and Policy Context: An X post from a financial analyst (@ForexInsight) on March 9, 2025, highlighted potential tariff-related announcements from the U.S., which could affect USD/CNY and USD/CAD pairs, though no specific date was mentioned within this week.
- Market Volatility: High-impact events like BoJ, ECB, and U.S. CPI are likely to cause sharp price movements, especially during Asian, European, and North American trading sessions. Traders should adjust position sizes and use stop-loss orders to manage risk.
- Time Zone Adjustments: Given the current time is 12:10 AM HKT on March 12, 2025 (GMT+8), convert GMT times to local time for better planning (e.g., HKT is GMT+8, so add 8 hours to GMT for HKT).
Comparative Table of Events by Impact and Currency Affected
| Date | Event | Time (GMT) | Impact Level | Primary Currencies Affected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 10, 2025 | China CPI/PPI (Feb) | 02:00 | High | CNY, AUD, NZD |
| March 11, 2025 | BoJ Rate Decision | 03:00 | High | JPY |
| March 11, 2025 | U.S. CPI/Core CPI (Feb) | 13:30 | High | USD |
| March 13, 2025 | ECB Rate Decision | 13:45 | High | EUR |
| March 13, 2025 | U.S. Jobless Claims | 13:30 | Medium | USD |
| March 14, 2025 | U.S. Retail Sales (Feb) | 13:30 | High | USD |
| March 14, 2025 | U.S. Import/Export Prices (Feb) | 13:30 | Medium | USD |
| March 14, 2025 | U.Mich Consumer Confidence (Prelim) | 14:00 | Medium | USD |
•Most Trusted Broker — Asia 2024
•Broker of the Year — LATAM 2024
These awards confirm our commitment to building a rewarding trading environment and helping you uncover your potential. Thank you for choosing to trade with an award-winning broker!
Why choose MetaTrader 5 with Top Forex Brokers?
•Blazing-fast execution & enhanced stability
•38 built-in technical indicators & 21 timeframes for precision trading
•Optimized for all devices—desktop, mobile & web
•Trade a wide range of assets: Stocks, Commodities, Forex & more!
