Top Forex Brokers – Forex Weekly news and analysis For September 29 – October 5, 2025

Top Forex Brokers – Forex Weekly news and analysis For September 29 – October 5,, 2025

The US jobs report: a decisive Friday ahead

Friday’s US jobs report is the week’s key event. Non-Farm Payrolls and unemployment will test labor market health and set the tone for Fed policy and USD moves in October.

Friday, October 3

The US Non-Farm Employment Change 

September NFP is in focus. With just 22K jobs added last time and 39K expected now, a strong print could back the Fed and boost the Dollar, while weakness would stoke easing bets.

EURUSD has formed a rising wedge and bounced off the lower trend line and the MA50. +DI remains above -DI, with an imbalance visible at the top.

We are considering buying on further upside, with targets at 1.1810 and 1.1860.

Friday, October 3

The US Unemployment Rate 

With payrolls released, the unemployment rate is expected to stay at 4.3%. If so, consistency could offset the effect of a soft NFP, while any rise would test labor market resilience. Together, these figures will shape October’s market mood and may reset expectations for Fed action.

XAUUSD is rising rapidly and updating its ATH, but the price has crossed the upper Bollinger band, indicating overbought conditions. At the same time, a divergence has formed on the RSI.

Further upside above 3830 could clear the path to 4110, aligning with the 261.8% Fibonacci extension.
A break below the trend line and 3740 would target 3640 or even 3500.

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