Top Forex Brokers – Forex Weekly news and analysis For October 20 – 26, 2025
The key risk events this week are the US and UK inflation releases. Both will offer crucial insight into the persistence of price pressures, shaping expectations for the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England and likely stirring moves in USD, GBP, and global yields.
Wednesday, October 22
Inflation is expected to rise to 4.0% y/y from 3.8%, showing that the UK is moving more slowly toward its target. If core or services prices stay high, it could push the BoE to keep policy tight, supporting GBP and gilt yields. But if inflation comes in lower than expected, it would back the dovish outlook and likely weigh on sterling.
GBPUSD is moving sideways, consolidating at a strong resistance level. The Stochastic shows overbought conditions, and there’s an FVG below, but the MACD still signals potential for growth.
Friday, October 24
Headline CPI is expected to rise 3.0% y/y, up from 2.9% previously. Markets will focus on the core measure for signs that services inflation may be turning sticky again. A stronger core reading would support the Fed’s “higher-for-longer” stance and lift the Dollar, while softer data could revive expectations of mid-2025 rate cuts, boosting gold and risk sentiment.
XAUUSD has broken a minor trend line and is currently pausing before the next move. %R has left the oversold zone, but MACD still points to a potential decline toward the global trend line.
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*Tips and analytics do not constitute a call to trade, trading advice or recommendation and are for information only.
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