Normally, higher interest rates support the US dollar and Treasury yields, which puts pressure on gold. But multiple factors support safe-haven demand for gold. Which factors will prevail ahead of the FOMC’s upcoming rate decision on October 28?
Gold between opposing forces

Central bank demand
They keep purchasing gold as a safe-haven asset and diversification tool.
Inflation hedge
Gold is a traditional protection against inflation, and the oil crisis is fueling persistent inflation concerns.
Geopolitical risks
Escalating conflicts and growing uncertainty push investors toward gold.
US dollar and Treasury yields
A weaker dollar or falling Treasury yields could support XAUUSD even if interest rates are high.
Fed policy expectations
If the Fed sounds less hawkish than expected, gold could continue to rise even without an immediate rate cut.
What should traders watch
•The Fed’s guidance
•The US dollar and Treasury yields
•Inflation and oil prices
These three factors combined can suggest whether pressure from high interest rates outweighs safe-haven demand.

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