Top Forex Brokers – Forex Weekly news and analysis For August 11 – 17, 2025
Economic calendar highlights
Tuesday, August 12
Core CPI m/m + CPI m/m + CPI y/y
This week’s key release is the CPI. If inflation keeps falling, the Fed is likely to cut rates in September, given weak labor data and a slowing economy. That would push the dollar down and lift gold and US stocks. Higher inflation would have the opposite effect.

XAUUSD is moving sideways, bouncing off 3400 resistance and heading for a trendline retest. RSI has dropped below the mid-line, hinting at further downside.
Consider going long on a rebound from 3300, targeting 3400;
A break below 3300 could send the asset down to 3220 support.
Friday, August 15
The US Retail Sales + Consumer Sentiment
The data will reveal if Americans are still spending and if inflation expectations are steady. Strong retail sales and rising expectations could delay rate cuts and boost the dollar, while weaker numbers would increase pressure on the Fed to act in September.

GBPUSD is in a correction, following the trendline. The price is retesting the trendline with two possible scenarios:
If the price breaks above 1.3510, it may rise toward 1.3740.
Breaking below the 1.3400 may signal a further bearish move to 1.3200 support.

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*Tips and analytics do not constitute a call to trade, trading advice or recommendation and are for information only.


